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05 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1618
3-0Final setsOlbrycht won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1631
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 53%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 50% → final 95%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 37%65 points · 3 games