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05 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1277
3-1Final setsMaszczynski won
WSWitold Stechly
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1194
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Maszczynski at 58%. The actual result was Dariusz Maszczynski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Witold Stechly favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Witold Stechly −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Witold Stechly −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Maszczynski is favoured to win, below means Witold Stechly.

▲ Dariusz Maszczynskipre 62% → final 98%
Witold Stechly ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games