5 Oct · 07:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1293
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lamer
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1235
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lamer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)