5 Oct · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1418
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wolny
ML
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1293
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)