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05 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1285
3-2Final setsMaszczynski won
TKTomasz Kordaszewski
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1222
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Maszczynski at 54%. The actual result was Dariusz Maszczynski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maszczynski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maszczynski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maszczynski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Maszczynski is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Kordaszewski.

▲ Dariusz Maszczynskipre 58% → final 95%
Tomasz Kordaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsMaszczynski recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games