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05 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1329
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1339
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warpas at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Warpas favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 76.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Warpas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Warpas −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Warpas.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 50% → final 89%
Blazej Warpas ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsWisniewski recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games