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05 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1662
3-0Final setsKolek won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1296
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 83%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.1
Favourite won
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 87% → final 100%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 13 pts47 points · 3 games