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05 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1627
1-3Final setsKapik won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1636
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 51%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 47% → final 11%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games