5 Oct · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1627
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Malachowski
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1566
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kostal🌟Malachowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (86)
Fair odds · Malachowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)