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05 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1657
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1625
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 79.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 58% → final 98%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts71 points · 4 games