05 Oct · 10:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1454
3-1Final setsFomin won
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1483
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 55%. The actual result was Yurij Fomin 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.65
Total 74.5
89 points played
Set handicap
Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jerzy Pelka −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Yurij Fomin is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.
▲ Yurij Fominpre 41% → final 88%
Jerzy Pelka ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsFomin recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games