5 Oct · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1657
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Poliniewicz
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1552
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kostal🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)