5 Oct · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1483
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1594
FormWWWLL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pelka🌟Pelka covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)