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DeuceLab
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05 Oct · 11:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1654
3-1Final setsSobel won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 51%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 53% → final 50%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsSobel recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games