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05 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1646
2-3Final setsWichowski won
GWGrzegorz Wichowski
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1619
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 56%. The actual result was Grzegorz Wichowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Wichowski.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 60% → final 91%
Grzegorz Wichowski ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 4 games