05 Oct · 12:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1481
0-3Final setsFomin won
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1472
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 53%. The actual result was Yurij Fomin 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.65
Total 74.5
51 points played
Set handicap
Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jerzy Pelka −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Yurij Fomin.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 57% → final 11%
Yurij Fomin ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsFomin recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games