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05 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1662
3-1Final setsMalachowski won
MSMiroslav Sklensky
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1690
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sklensky at 55%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Sklensky favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 74.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miroslav Sklensky −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslav Sklensky −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Sklensky.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 41% → final 2%
Miroslav Sklensky ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games