5 Oct · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1637
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Olbrycht
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1548
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Olbrycht
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)