5 Oct · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1646
FormLLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Skotniczny
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1407
FormLLLWL
74%
26%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 62% (85)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)