Jerzy Pelka vs Rafal Skotniczny — TT Elite Series

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05 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1490

3-1Final setsPelka won

🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny

ELO 1644

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 68%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 3-1 — the underdog won.

Jerzy Pelka — profile →Rafal Skotniczny — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.42

Upset

Total 74.5

80 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Skotniczny −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 34% → final 1%

Rafal Skotniczny ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games