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05 Oct · 14:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1655
2-3Final setsOlbrycht won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1650
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 52%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 49% → final 90%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsMalachowski recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games