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05 Oct · 14:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GWGrzegorz Wichowski
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1613
1-3Final setsKaczmarek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wichowski at 72%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Wichowski favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 73.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Wichowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Grzegorz Wichowskipre 71% → final 100%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 5 games