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05 Oct · 15:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1418
3-1Final setsKaczmarek won
PPPawel Polok
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Polok at 66%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Polok favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Polok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Polok −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Pawel Polok.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 29% → final 0%
Pawel Polok ▼
Biggest swing 29 pts52 points · 3 games