5 Oct · 19:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1327
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1340
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.