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← TT Elite Series predictions
05 Oct · 17:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJerzy Pelka
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1490
3-0Final setsPelka won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 57%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 77.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 54% → final 0%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games