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05 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1581
3-2Final setsZmijewski won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1459
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 63%. The actual result was Artur Zmijewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 76.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Zmijewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Artur Zmijewskipre 61% → final 100%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsZmijewski recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games