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← TT Elite Series predictions
05 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1323
3-1Final setsKowalczyk won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1286
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kowalczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 58% → final 11%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games