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05 Oct · 22:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1318
3-1Final setsPrzewlocki won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1323
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Przewlocki is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Jacek Przewlockipre 51% → final 23%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 95 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games