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06 Oct · 00:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1361
2-3Final setsSulkowski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1348
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwodawski at 53%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Kwodawski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Kwodawski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Kwodawski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Kwodawski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Bartosz Kwodawskipre 50% → final 5%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsSulkowski recovered from 1%72 points · 5 games