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06 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1495
3-2Final setsRuszkiewicz won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1454
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 53%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 76.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 57% → final 91%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 5 games