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06 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1641
0-3Final setsIdaczyk won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1454
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 74%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 72.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 73% → final 3%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 24%49 points · 3 games