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06 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1499
3-0Final setsRuszkiewicz won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1269
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 54%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 58% → final 98%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts52 points · 3 games