6 Oct · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1269
FormLLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Idaczyk
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1454
FormWLWLL
31%
69%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (58)
Fair odds · Idaczyk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H16-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-5)