6 Oct · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1279
FormWLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1597
FormWWWLW
20%
80%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+318
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+318)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)