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06 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1643
3-2Final setsSkotniczny won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1437
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 62%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 74.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 60% → final 91%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 5 games