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06 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1402
2-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1437
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 51%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oliver Vincenec favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Oliver Vincenec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oliver Vincenec −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 53% → final 1%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsVincenec recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games