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06 Oct · 06:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1404
2-3Final setsRus won
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1285
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 58%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 79.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Rus.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 62% → final 5%
Maksymilian Rus ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsRus recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games