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06 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1303
0-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1299
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 52%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 51% → final 1%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts57 points · 3 games