6 Oct · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1613
FormLLWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Sobel
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1374
FormWWWWL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)