6 Oct · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1411
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kaczmarek
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1266
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (58)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H44-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-14)