6 Oct · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1285
FormLWWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jozefiak
MJ
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1493
FormLLLWW
28%
72%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Jozefiak
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)