6 Oct · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1544
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Durak
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Durak
ELO 1605
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Durak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)