Boguslaw Madej vs Kamil Smolka — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

06 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej

ELO 1416

3-1Final setsMadej won

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1518

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 56%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-1 — the underdog won.

Boguslaw Madej — profile →Kamil Smolka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.4

Upset

Total 75.5

86 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Kamil Smolka.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 40% → final 100%

Kamil Smolka ▼

Biggest swing 85 ptsMadej recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games