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06 Oct · 12:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1518
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1659
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 62%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolek favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 40% → final 97%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsSulkowski recovered from 28%71 points · 4 games