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06 Oct · 13:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1637
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1676
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 55%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 48% → final 4%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsMalachowski recovered from 44%59 points · 3 games