6 Oct · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kurek
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1429
FormLWLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)