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06 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1427
3-2Final setsMadej won
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jozefiak at 57%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Jozefiak favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 75.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Jozefiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Jozefiak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Michal Jozefiak.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 46% → final 99%
Michal Jozefiak ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsMadej recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games