6 Oct · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1282
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Madej
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1427
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Madej
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H27-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-24)