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← TT Elite Series predictions
06 Oct · 14:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKamil Smolka
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1527
3-2Final setsSmolka won
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1459
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 56%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kamil Smolka −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Michal Jozefiak.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 53% → final 12%
Michal Jozefiak ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsJozefiak recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games