6 Oct · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1422
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jurowicz
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1270
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)